The latest set of prison population projections suggest that the daily prison population in Scotland will increase from an annual average of 8,300 in 2012-13 to 9,500 by 2020-21 . The demographic history of Scotland includes all aspects of population history in what is now Scotland. The latest set of 2018-based population projections for Scotland (Chart 1) produced by National Records of Scotland show the total population of Scotland rising from 5.40 million in 2016 to 5.58 million in 2043. It should be noted that the projections are based on past trends and do not explicitly model the potential impact of future changes in policy or practice on the prison population. Back to table of contents. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated. This publication shows data up to 2011-12 on Scottish prison population levels and characteristics, receptions to/liberations from Scottish prisons, and international comparisons. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated. Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2016-based) Principal and variant population projections by age and sex for council, NHS Board, Strategic Development Plan and National Park areas. Population projections for Glasgow by age group, 2018 - 2043 Click on graph to expand. Population estimates are broken down by single year ages and by sex, and gives totals for both. But this pattern is not to be experienced in all areas of Scotland. The fastest growing areas are in the East surrounding the City … Longer-term projections for up to 70 years ahead show a decrease to 5.38 million by 2086. The paper, PPWG (06) 09 - Accuracy of the Sub-National Population Projections for Scotland (available on this website) looking at the accuracy of the projections was published in 2006. Population Pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. Principal projection The population of Scotland is projected to rise by 9 per cent over the next 25 years, from 5.31 million in 2012 to 5.78 million by 2037, and continue to rise into the future. An Infographic and Interactive data visualisation are available on the Infographics and Visualisations page of this website. Scots are expected to live longer but inward migration will be essential to ensure the country’s population continues to grow, according to national statistics published today. There is no change to the projections for Scotland, Northern Ireland or the UK as a whole. Future projections of the resident population of Scotland are produced by National Records of Scotland (NRS), usually every two years, for the following geographies: Scotland; NHS Board (Health Board) Council Area (Local Authority) Projections for small areas of Scotland below council area level are not produced by NRS, except for national parks. Population projections. Published: 29 Jun 2012. Population projections provide statistics on potential future population levels of the UK and its constituent countries by age and sex. Population estimates for all 14 health board (2019) in Scotland from 1981 to 2019. ISBN: 9781780459189. Scotland may have been first occupied in the last interglacial period (130,000–70,000 BC), but the earliest surviving archaeological evidence of human settlement is of Mesolithic hunter-gatherer encampments. The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. These are mostly urban areas, located in the central belt. Statisitcs Customer Services telephone: (0131) 314 4299 This year it includes prison population projections to 2020-21 which were previously published separately, as … The major feature of the age-related projections is that Glasgow’s population - in line with the rest of Scotland - is predicted to become older. Principal projection - Great Britain population in age groups. The population of the country dropped from 5.229 Million in the year 1971 to 5.062 Million in 2001.Looking back last eight years, the population growth of Scotland is slow but consistent ranging from 0.09% to 0.93% adding 5,000 to 50,000 people to the overall population. Data and analysis can be found in this section. This page contains population pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. The figures project that there will be 240,000 more pensioners over the next 25 years, an increase of 23.2%, while the working age population reduces by 7,000 people. The population of Scotland has been increasing every decade since 1970’s from that point. ... National Records of Scotland (NRS) have published a summary of the projections for Scotland. Population projections and depopulation across Scotland NRS have published the latest Population Projections for Scottish Areas. Small area population estimates at data zone and intermediate zone levels, Scottish … The figures project that there will be 240,000 more pensioners over the next 25 years, an increase of 23.2%, while the working age population reduces by 7,000 people. Statistical bulletin for the UK population projections, as well as open data at UK and Scotland level. These charts will be particularly useful for users who are interested in the changing demographics of Scotland. An error has been found in the 2018-based national population projections (NPP), involving the incorrect processing of cross-border flows between Wales and England. Mid-year population estimates at Scotland and council level, and Health Board areas are published by NRS in April every year. ONS Comparable Datasets. E-mail: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk, For media enquiries, please contact communications@nrscotland.gov.uk. Prison statistics and population projections Scotland: 2011-12. 2. The mortality assumptions underlying the population projections are on a mid-year basis so there may be small differences between the figures presented in this article and the national population projections published datasets. United Kingdom Population Projections. In December 2020, an estimated 8.9% of the population in Scotland would have tested positive for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 from a blood sample (95% confidence interval: 7.2% to 10.9%). Population Estimates. Figures published by National Records of Scotland. Some areas are projected to increase in size while others to decrease. Population projections for Scotland using different assumptions of future EU migration. The population estimates for Scotland, council areas and health board areas are published ten months after this date. Based on data from the last Census taken in … Intermediate Zone (2011) from 2001 to 2019. Population estimates for all geography types in Scotland: Data Zone (2011) from 2001 to 2019. There was a modest reduction in the population of the country during the 1970’s and 1990’s. Population Pyramids of Scotland showing the changing age and sex structure of the country over time. This is a biennial publication. Archive. The latest set of prison population projections suggest that the daily prison population in Scotland will increase from an annual average of 8,300 in 2012-13 to 9,500 by 2020-21. Statistical Service in Scotland. There is also information on the change between the most recent projection and the previous set in the publications themselves. Figures published today by the National Records of Scotland provide the latest mid-2018 population estimates for the 6,976 small areas of Scotland, known as data zones. Corrections have been made to the infographic (page 4), section 3 (pages 15-17) and section 5 (pages 20-21) of the publication. Please get in touch if you need any further information, or have any suggestions for improvement. Uses and Limitations of Population Projections, Population and Household Projections Sub-Council Areas, Projected Population of Scotland (2018-based), Projected population change for Scotland and the UK under variant projections: 2018-based, statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk. The dates of future publications will be announced on our Future Publications page. This has now been changed to the correct figure of 5.96 million. Statisitcs Customer Services telephone: (0131) 314 4299 After the slight dip observed last year, the prison population has increased by 4 per cent to an annual daily average of 8,178 for 2011-12. Note: Health and Social Care … United Kingdom Demographics. The National Records of Scotland forecasts that Glasgow’s population will grow by 6% over the next 25 years, an increase of 36,000. 3. The other papers from this group are also on this website. These population projections have been developed in collaboration with the National Records of Scotland (NRS) with support from the Universities of Edinburgh and Manchester. Please note, a correction has been issued to the Key Findings Infographic for the national population projections. Population Projections. The projected population of Scotland on 30 June 2043 is: 5,574,800 This is from the Projected Population of Scotland (2018-based) publication. High population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics. It is estimated that an average of 398,000 people … These suggest a highly mobile boat-using people, probably with a very low density of population. 3. ... (2014) from 1981 to 2019. They are based on the latest mid-2016 population estimates and provide an indication of the future population size and age structure of Scottish areas based on a set of assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration. This document is available in: This section also includes historical data back to 2001 and variant population projections for Scotland. Over half of Scotland’s councils (18 out of 32) are projected to increase by mid-2028. Small Area Population Estimates, mid-2018. Scotland has historically experienced higher mortality rates at all but the very youngest ages, compared with the UK … Projections. Stats at a Glance Historical Sub-National Population Projections data Includes historical data back to 2000 and revised 1994-based projections at council and NHS Board area level and historical Population and Household … Projected population change varies across Scotland. It is forecast that while the … E-mail: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland.gov.uk, For media enquiries, please contact communications@nrscotland.gov.uk. The sample size for Scotland for the IPS is small, so estimates derived from this survey are subject to large sampling and … Not National Statistics. The small area population estimates are published fourteen months after this date. The United Kingdom's population is expected to continue its rise throughout the 21st century. ... except for Scotland. Population projections have limitations. 50% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups. Projected Population of Scotland (2016-based), A visualisation comparing projection variants for Scotland and the UK is available on the Infographics and Visualisations page of this website: Projected population change for Scotland and the UK under variant projections: 2018-based. 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